Nigeria’s private intelligence outfit which provides analysis of the nation’s socio-political and economic situation, SBM Intelligence, on Friday predicted that the electoral violence that may be witnessed in Nigeria in 2019 would be of greater magnitude than the one witnessed in 2011.
The platform said this in a series of tweets posted on its Twitter handle, @sbmintelligence.
One of the tweets read, “A disputed result is very likely for #NigeriaDecides2019, raising the prospect of pre and post-election violence.
“We believe that electoral violence in 2019 will be of a greater magnitude than in 2011.
“We expect #PastoralConflict to intensify after for #NigeriaDecides2019.”
SBM Intelligence predicted that ISWAP would launch an offensive when the security services get distracted by the elections.
“@MBuhari might yield to pressure and contract a PMC to take the fight to #Boko Haram. We expect an increase in IDPs over the course of the year,” it added.
As the elections draw nearer, SBM Intelligence said the government would increasingly resort to populist policies to shore up support.
It expressed the belief that a close result would be followed by allegations of fraud and irregularities.
“While we think that an elite consensus, and popular discontent favour @atiku, @MBuhari’s control of the apparatus of state will be a factor and we don’t think that he will hesitate to use it, so at this point, we think that #NigeriaDecides2019 is too close to call,” it added. – Punch
– Dec. 15, 2018 @ 12:59 GMT |